COVID-19: Independent Thought

Posted Posted in Brain Science, Continuing Education, Homestudy, Psychology, Seminars

By Mary O’Brien, M.D.

Are you running on fumes these days?  You’re not alone.  For seven months, we have been bombarded by endless, awful news about the pandemic.  Riots, vandalism, looting, arson, and horrifying murder rates continue to plague cities across the nation.  Economic and financial stresses have taken their toll on nearly everyone outside the political class.  Somehow the elites of the ruling class never suffer the consequences of their own policies.

News alert:  Our rights are not granted by governors.  Our rights are not granted by health care officials or supercilious people on some city council.  Our unalienable rights of life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness come from our Creator. Many people seem to have forgotten this. Cowardice, perhaps born of fatigue and fear, has overtaken too much of our society.  “Stay home or put on your mask and be a good little lemming.”  Tens of millions mindlessly comply.  Power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely.  This has been true since the beginning of time.  At some point, however, a critical mass of people needs to say, “Enough!”

“Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction.”  Ronald Reagan said that over 50 years ago.  He was right.  There will always be people who lust for power and control over others.  They will invent reasons to keep people fearful, uncertain, and angry.  The one thing they cannot abide is independent thought.

They say, “We know what’s best for you.”

No.  You know what’s best for you.  You know what’s best for your family, your business, your patients.  Over the past seven months, the “experts” have been spectacularly wrong.  They have fostered a level of panic that is out of proportion to reality.  Unless you live in a nursing home, you are at greater risk from getting into a car than you are from COVID-19.

Fear and sadness deplete energy.  Courage and good humor replenish it.  People adapt.  We can proceed with life, work, school, and business by combining prudence with creativity.  We can focus on facts, not on someone’s fearful narrative intended to control others.

If we actually value freedom, we need to stop cowering in a corner.  Fear is the enemy of freedom.  It’s time to show some spine.

COVID-19: It’s Time

Posted Posted in Brain Science, Continuing Education, Homestudy, Psychology, Seminars, Webinars

By Mary O’Brien, M.D.

Are you caught up in the back-to-school debate?  It’s stunning that anyone is arguing about this.  There was never a medically valid reason for closing schools and colleges in the first place.  As far back as February, we know who the vulnerable people have been.  They were older individuals with multiple, significant underlying illnesses.  This pattern was observed everywhere from China to the European countries.

The panic-stricken rush to close schools and colleges was precisely that — a panic.  Experience over the centuries should have taught us that quarantining a healthy population is ineffective.  The sound, medically sensible approach is to isolate and protect the vulnerable people as quickly as possible.

Consider a few facts:

  • In the U.S. since February 2020, approximately 40,000 deaths attributed to COVID-19 have occurred in people age 85 and older.  Approximately 32,000 COVID-related deaths occurred in people aged 75 to 84.
  • Between the ages of 5 to 14, there have been 14 COVID-19 deaths.  Over 120 children have died from the flu.
  • Children are not vectors for COVID-19.  This illness does not mimic transmission patterns seen with cold and flu viruses in kids.  Young children do not bring COVID-19 home to grandma and grandpa.  There are several medically documented cases of adults transmitting the virus to children (out of millions of cases), but not the other way around.
  • The main reason for this curious fact appears to involve receptor sites in the nasal passages. ACE2 receptors (angiotensin-converting enzyme) in the nose seem to function like docking stations for COVID-19. (Most people are familiar with a class of blood-pressure medications called ACE inhibitors.) Children under the age of 10 have very low levels of ACE2 receptors.  Children between the ages of 10 and 17 have slightly higher levels of these receptors.  Adults gradually develop greater concentrations of these receptor sites as they age.

What does this mean?  It means that there is no medically valid reason for normal, healthy children to wear masks.  Masks can trap bacteria, spores, allergens, pollen, particulate matter, and even increase carbon dioxide retention in certain patients.  Socially and psychologically, there may be a price to pay one day.

Children should go back to school.  Colleges should reopen.  Teachers will be exposed to colds and flu as they are each year.  But COVID-19 is not a massive threat to faculty unless they are already old and sick.

According to the CDC website on “COVID-19 and Children” updated, July 23, 2020:

The best available evidence indicates that COVID-19 poses relatively low risks to school-aged children.  Children appear to be at lower risk for contracting COVID-19 compared to adults.  To put this in perspective, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), as of July 17, 2020, the United States reported that children and adolescents under 18 years old account for under 7 percent of COVID-19 cases and less than 0.1 percent of COVID-19-related deaths.[5]  Although relatively rare, flu-related deaths in children occur every year. From 2004-2005 to 2018-2019, flu-related deaths in children reported to CDC during regular flu seasons ranged from 37 to 187 deaths.  During the H1N1pandemic (April 15, 2009 to October 2, 2010), 358 pediatric deaths were reported to CDC. So far in this pandemic, deaths of children are less than in each of the last five flu seasons, with only 64. Additionally, some children with certain underlying medical conditions, however, are at increased risk of severe illness from COVID-19.*

Scientific studies suggest that COVID-19 transmission among children in schools may be low.  International studies that have assessed how readily COVID-19 spreads in schools also reveal low rates of transmission when community transmission is low.  Based on current data, the rate of infection among younger school children, and from students to teachers, has been low, especially if proper precautions are followed.  There have also been few reports of children being the primary source of COVID-19 transmission among family members.[6],[7],[8]  This is consistent with data from both virus and antibody testing, suggesting that children are not the primary drivers of COVID-19 spread in schools or in the community.[9],[10],[11]  No studies are conclusive, but the available evidence provides reason to believe that in-person schooling is in the best interest of students, particularly in the context of appropriate mitigation measures similar to those implemented at essential workplaces.

Wash your hands.  Don’t touch your face.  Stay home if you feel poorly.  Keep surfaces clean.  Avoid crowds.

It’s time for kids to go back to school and for adults to go back to work.

COVID-19: Reasons for Optimism

Posted Posted in Brain Science, Continuing Education, Homestudy, Psychology, Webinars

By Mary O’Brien, M.D.

Are you demoralized by “spikes” and “surges” in COVID-19 “cases”?  Are you afraid to go to the grocery store without a gallon of hand sanitizer and a hazmat suit?  That’s how you’re supposed to feel.  Don’t fall for it.  There are reasons to be encouraged, and they won’t be reported by most people in the media.

Consider the following:

  • Mortality rates continue to fall across the country. The highest number of deaths or maximum mortality in the U.S. occurred on April 10th, 2020.
  • Clinical experience with COVID-19 in hospital and ICU settings over the past five months has improved diagnosis, care, and outcomes dramatically.
  • Hospital length of stay (LOS) for COVID-19 patients is half of what it was in March and April of 2020.
  • Media reports of ICUs being near capacity are misleading. For example, in Texas, on July 6th, COVID-19 patients filled 15% of ICU beds; 85% of ICU beds were filled by non-COVID patients.  Remember, for months, many people who should have been hospitalized with other conditions simply stayed home. Furthermore, most clinicians with significant experience have seen multiple episodes of packed ERs and ICUs at nearly any time of year.  It happens.
  • Protocols using Remdesivir, Dexamethasone, convalescent plasma, and other therapies are improving survival here and in other countries.
  • The current mortality rate for people under the age of 50 is 0.05% or half that of the flu. The mortality rate for people in their 20s is 0.007%.  So far, despite initial concerns, there are no well-documented cases of children transmitting COVID-19 to adults.  Schools in Germany, Norway, Denmark, the Netherlands, and Australia have opened without problems.  The schools in the U.S. can reopen without panic and paranoia.  There is a sensible way to do this.
  • Confirmed cases of COVID-19 are substantially lower than reported cases. An actual case of COVID-19 must be confirmed with additional testing.  False positives seem to outnumber false negatives at present.  A positive “case” or test result does not automatically translate into a sick patient.
  • There is a difference between dying with COVID-19 and dying from COVID-19. Heart disease, COPD, bacterial pneumonias, diabetes, renal failure, strokes, dementia, and cancer have not disappeared.
  • Rapid progress is being made by numerous companies working on vaccines and therapeutics. This would not have been possible without unprecedented public-private partnerships and the easing of burdensome red tape.

It’s easier to scare people than it is to “un-scare” them.  The simplest way to control people is to silence independent thinkers and keep everyone else afraid and uncertain.  Uncertainty promotes fear, and fear is contagious.

The vast majority of people in the med0ia and far too many “officials” and politicians are trying to make this situation sound as bad as possible for as long as possible.  They are teaching people to be afraid of everything including one another.  This is insane.  It borders on sinister.

We are making for more progress than most people realize.  Fear not.  There are plenty of reasons for optimism.

COVID-19: Scary Graphics

Posted Posted in Brain Science, Continuing Education, Elder Care, Homestudy, Seminars, Webinars

By Mary O’Brien, M.D.

Quick.  What’s the clinical definition of a “spike”?  You’re not sure, are you.  Don’t feel bad.  No one knows what the clinical definition of a “spike” is.  But the all-knowing bureaucrats and media types toss the word around with abandon.  It serves their purpose, which is to keep as many people as possible afraid and, therefore, controlled, especially in the age of COVID-19.

If you were fortunate enough to have had a good education and some training in critical thinking, you know you must define your terms. It’s the essential starting point for any serious discussion or debate.  You cannot make up terms or definitions on a whim.  This, of course, is distressing to those who worship their notions and emotions. Today, that means millions of people. Reality (or a “spike,”) is whatever people say it is.

Announcing that “the country is seeing a worrisome spike in COVID-19 cases” is misleading.  Defining the terms is not only critical for any measure of professional or intellectual integrity, it is essential for a prudent response.  Sadly, in far too many cases, a lack of intellectual integrity can be easily used to promote paranoia.  Today, nearly anyone can create scary graphics splashed with “worrywart red” ink.  This is done routinely to exaggerate the threat of anything from a virus to a thunderstorm.  Be afraid. Be very, very afraid.

No. Do not be afraid.  Understand what is happening:

  • There is exponentially more testing being done now compared with six weeks ago (as of late June 2020).
  • The criteria for COVID-19 testing have evolved tremendously over the past three months.In March, elderly people with obvious respiratory symptoms were told to stay at home and avoid the emergency room.  They were advised they did not need to be tested.  Today, in much of the country, many people can be tested on demand.
  • Greater numbers of young people are being tested.Naturally, more positive tests will be reported.  Most of these individuals are asymptomatic and will remain so.  Consider this — no one could walk into a clinic or makeshift roadside testing site and simply demand a test for flu, strep, hepatitis, or mono because he or she felt like it.  Medically speaking, what’s going on now is odd.
  • Deaths from COVID-19 have declined by 40% across the U.S. over the last two weeks.This is crucial for understanding what is really happening.  The mortality rate for COVID-19 here is around 0.05% (and probably lower).  Contrast this with what we were told initially.  Italy had a mortality rate around 10-11% and in the U.S. we expected a mortality rate between 3-4%.  That’s quite a difference.
  • Our focus should not be on the number of positive tests, but on hospitalization and mortality rates.There will be regional fluctuations in both.

COVID-19 is new.  Patterns of transmission, virulence, and regional penetrance will change gradually.  Our understanding of the best ways to treat seriously ill patients will change.  This has happened throughout history.  For now, don’t overreact to “worrywart red” on TV graphics.  Steady as she goes, America.  Steady as she goes.

 

Help for the Helpers on the Frontlines of COVID-19

Posted Posted in Brain Science, Continuing Education, Elder Care, Pain, Psychology, Seminars, Webinars

By Dr. Jennifer L. Abel

Many healthcare workers on the COVID-19 frontlines are overwhelmed and traumatized. In addition to putting your lives on the line, many of you are quarantined from your family and some have insufficient PPE. Many are having to make multiple difficult decisions daily and have see an unprecedented number of people suffer and die; sometimes even colleagues.

You are amazing! You are also human! So, it is crucial that you express your emotions: cry in the restroom, cry on the way home, go outside for 10 minutes to shed tears or blow off steam. Angry at a co-worker, administrator, or politician? Pay attention to your driving, but imagine they are in the passenger seat and express your feelings.

Keeping your body relaxed is very important to help with immune function and to survive emotionally.  “How can I possibly relax? I have no time and am way too stressed to relax” are common thoughts on the front lines of COVID-19. Fortunately, relaxation strategies need not take any time at all and can be done without stopping your work activity. Test it out! Because most of you are standing or walking most of the day, stand or walk now while engaging in your favorite strategy simultaneously. Now pretend. Go through the motions of a common work activity while engaging in your strategy. The exception is you can’t do breathing strategies while talking.

It’s easy to get distracted and forget to use your coping strategies. Try to get into the habit of using strategies every time a machine starts beeping, each time you switch rooms, someone calls your name, or when you change tasks. Put up sticky note reminders when possible. Change the wallpaper on your phone or change the ringtone and text-tones. Each time you experience the reminder, engage in your strategy.

No doubt you’re exhausted. When you experience one of your reminders, ask yourself “do I need all this energy” or “what’s the least amount of energy I can use while doing this procedure? Writing notes? Walking down the hall?” Follow with your favorite word, like soft, loose, or relaxed.

People in helping professions are great at taking care of others, but aren’t nearly as good at taking care of themselves. Now is the time for you to finally ask for what you need, or even want, from others. And take time to self-nurture.

I heard today that people wearing scrubs are being discriminated against out of fear they’re carrying the virus. Some have been mugged or antagonized because they are known to have a job. Please know that the majority of us, not just patients and their families, are very appreciative of your sacrifices.  Know in your heart that having a purpose is a positive predictor of happiness, even though you probably aren’t feeling particularly happy right now. Similarly remember that even when you feel helpless, you are still helping!

Thank you very much for all the help you are providing, especially if you are putting your life at risk and/or isolating from your family to help!


Dr. Jennifer L. Abel is an expert in worry and the author of three books and two card decks including Resistant Anxiety, Worry, & Panic.

COVID-19: Complications

Posted Posted in Continuing Education, Elder Care, Homestudy, Psychology, Seminars, Webinars

By Mary O’Brien, M.D.

We knew this was coming, or at least we should have known. Several subsets of patients with complex reactions to COVID-19 (the disease from the coronavirus infection) are being recognized.  The very young, the very old, and the very sick may be predisposed to rare and intense immune responses to infection with this coronavirus.  Here is what we know so far:

  • “Cytokine Storm” can be a dire consequence of COVID-19 especially in older patients with several underlying illnesses.  Cytokines are polypeptides or proteins secreted by immune cells coming into contact with bacterial or viral antigens and/or endotoxins.  Cytokines can also be synthesized by adipose cells (one of the reasons overweight patients are at serious risk).  Cytokines include chemokines, interleukins, interferons, and tumor necrosis factors among others.  Simply put, cytokines influence the magnitude of an inflammatory immune response.  Multiple genetic factors seem to play a role.  Clinically, an older, chronically-ill patient with COVID-19 (or other infections, such as influenza) can deteriorate dramatically over 6-12 hours. Vital signs become unstable, O2 saturation drops, respiratory distress intensifies, and inflammatory markers like C-reactive protein rise.  Cardiac function is seriously compromised and liver, kidney, and neurologic function decline rapidly.  Severe clotting disorders may develop.

The outcome is poor, but aggressive efforts to suppress the massive autoimmune inflammatory response may help if initiated at the earliest stages.

  • Toxic Shock Syndrome:  This is an acute, serious, systemic illness triggered by a response to exotoxins produced by staph or strep bacteria. It was first noted in young women in the early 1980s and was linked to tampons, diaphragms, or contraceptive sponges left in the vagina.  It can occur after childbirth, abortion, or surgery.  Symptoms include a high fever, diffuse red rash resembling scalded or burned skin, hypotension and multi-organ system failure leading to shock.  Prompt and aggressive treatment involves removal of foreign bodies, debridement of incisions or wounds, IV fluids, and IV antibiotics (clindamycin and vancomycin).  IV immunoglobulin can be used.

Several patients in the New York area, who tested positive for COVID-19, have presented with symptoms similar to Toxic Shock Syndrome.

  • Kawasaki Disease:  This is a childhood illness with a dramatic presentation and complications related to vasculitis, probably of an autoimmune nature.  Each year in the U.S. there are between 3,000 to 5,000 cases, mostly in children under the age of five years.  Rare cases occur in young infants, teens, or young adults.  Occasional community clusters occur, especially in late winter and spring, without clear evidence of person-to-person transmission.  Diagnosis requires the presence of four out of five clinical findings after fever lasting five or more days.
    • Bilateral conjunctivitis — injection or intense redness without exudate, drainage, or crusting.
    • Mucocutaneous injection of the lips, tongue, and oral mucosa. Lips are red, raw, dry, cracked, and fissured.  The tongue is enlarged, red, and possibly tender.  The classic description is “strawberry tongue.”
    • Skin changes involving the hands and feet.  There is pronounced edema and erythema especially on the palms, soles, and nail beds.  Full-thickness desquamation or sloughing off of skin on the fingers, palms, soles, and toes leaves the underlying denuded skin red, raw, and tender. These changes typically begin around Day 10.
    • Polymorphous rash over the trunk may resemble measles, scarlet fever, hives, or erythema multiform.  The perineal area is often involved.
    • Cervical lymphadenopathy with at least one lymph node in the neck ≥ 1.5 cm in diameter.

The cardiac complications of Kawasaki Disease include coronary artery aneurysms, myocarditis, pericarditis, and valvular disease.  EKG and echocardiogram are indicated at the time of diagnosis and in regular follow-up visits for at least a year.  Treatment involves high-dose aspirin and IV immune globulin.  Approximately 85 children in the New York area who are COVID-19 positive are being evaluated for this condition, now called “Pediatric Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome.”

Cytokine storm, Toxic Shock Syndrome, and Kawasaki Disease are rare in their original forms or as complications of COVID-19.  The overwhelming majority (over 82 percent) of patients testing positive for COVID-19 remain asymptomatic or mildly ill.  The survival rate in the U.S. (rarely mentioned) is over 99.5%.

Those of us in health care must always be aware of unusual or rare complications of any illness.  But perspective is crucial, a concept lost on many in the realms of media and politics.  After all, the best way to control people is to keep them afraid.

Knowledge, perspective, and prudence:  not fun, but essential.

homestudy

Coronavirus (COVID-19): We’ll Learn To Cope

Posted Posted in Continuing Education, Elder Care, Homestudy, Psychology, Webinars

By Mary O’Brien, M.D.

Enough.  Enough with the panic, paranoia, and power grabs.  Enough with the hysteria, hoarding, and hyperbole.  Enough with the melodramatic funeral music between commercial breaks on TV.  Fear, malaise, and resignation cannot become a permanent feature of life. This is not the end of the world, and this must not be tolerated as the “new normal.”

One of the most effective antidotes to fear is perspective.  Many of us had loved ones who endured far worse situations during the Spanish Influenza of 1918.  In those days, there were no ventilators or even the ability to deliver nasal oxygen.  There were no ICUs, cardiac monitors, or even TVs.  Antibiotics, antivirals, bronchodilators, anti-inflammatory medications, and corticosteroids did not exist.  There was no such thing as a Respiratory Therapist.  It was bleak.

Ten years later, during the beginning of the Great Depression, socio-economic conditions were equally bleak.  There were no social safety nets.  Social Security, unemployment Insurance, Medicare, Medicaid, welfare, food assistance, personal and small business rescue programs were nonexistent.  Soup kitchens and bread lines were the measures of last resort.

There is another major difference between the present day and 1918, and it revolves around the media.  In 1918, people had newspapers.  Radio was in its infancy.  There were no narcissistic TV “personalities” promoting an agenda 24 hours a day.  Enough is enough.  We don’t need any more people in the media selling panic for profit.  We need facts.  We need reason.  We need sensible, constructive solutions to a serious, infectious disease.  But we cannot sit on our hands for 18 months when a vaccine may or may not save the day.

Anyone telling us we have no choice but to lock down everything is misguided.  We always have choices.  Life constantly presents us with potential risks and benefits.  People can learn how to function with reasonable safety once they have the facts.  We are not helpless, clueless children who must be grounded “for our own good.”

Death is a certainty at some point — for each of us.  It always has been.  What matters is living a life that is good, honorable, and uplifting to others.  We are told no one should determine who lives and who dies.  Yet politicians and bureaucrats proclaim which “workers” (a Marxist term) are essential and which ones are not.  That reflects a stunning level of arrogance.  The only “non-essential” job or business is the one you didn’t pour your heart and soul into.  A handful of officials (where jobs, paychecks, and pensions are secure) is destroying the lives and futures of tens of millions of other people.

We’ve learned how to cope with tuberculosis and terrorism, the Great Dust Bowl and diphtheria, threats of nuclear war, and natural disasters.  We’ll learn how to cope with COVID-19, not through fear, not through paralysis, but through prudent, innovative, courageous action.  Enough with the panic.

Let’s get on with it.

COVID-19: Clinical Observations

Posted Posted in Brain Science, Continuing Education, Elder Care, Homestudy, Psychology, Seminars, Webinars

By Mary O’Brien, M.D.

Every new illness brings new knowledge. Global experience with COVID-19 is revealing patterns of clinical illness which will guide our approach to treatment. Here are some of those important observations:

  • The illness in 80% of people causes mild symptoms. Many people remain completely asymptomatic. Moderate and severe illness often has two phases. Days 1‒7 are characterized by fever (above 101° F), headache, significant cough, profound fatigue, myalgias, and malaise. Between days 4‒8 some patients have nausea, vomiting, abdominal pain, and/or diarrhea. Some patients lose their sense of taste and smell. Days 8‒21 are characterized (in 15‒20% of patients) by increasingly severe symptoms, including shortness of breath, dyspnea or difficulty breathing, chest pain or tightness, tachycardia and weakness.
  • The mean interval between onset of symptoms and hospitalization is 9.1‒12.5 days. This delay in the progression to serious illness may give us a window of opportunity for treatment.
  • Clinical findings typically include a low oxygen saturation level (O2 sat) on room air. This is a key finding and levels as low as 75‒90% are being seen (95‒100% is normal).
  • Laboratory results also show patterns similar to what was observed with SARS and MERS:

o   ↓ WBC or leukopenia

o   ↓ Platelet count or thrombocytopenia

o   ↑ Liver enzymes, especially LDH around hospital days 5‒8

o   CXR typically shows streaky opacities in both lungs consistent with an atypical pneumonia.

  • Serious complications of COVID-19 include severe viral pneumonia, ARDS (Adult Respiratory Distress Syndrome) respiratory failure, cardiac injury including arrhythmias and CHF. Poor perfusion can lead to hepato-renal syndrome. Neurologic symptoms, delirium, and coma may occur.
  • There is evidence that intubation and mechanical ventilation may be causing more harm than good in some patients. One component of ventilator function, the PEEP setting (positive end-expiratory pressure) may be delivering pressures that are too high for the alveoli or air sacs in the lungs. It appears that some COVID-19 patients in respiratory distress actually need lower levels of PEEP (15‒20) as opposed to levels around 25. Some patients seem to need higher O2 concentrations delivered by face mask, CPAP or BiPAP, and not intubation and mechanical ventilation.
  • According to the CDC, two thirds of the patients who have died from COVID-19 (as of mid-April) had documented serious underlying conditions (heart disease, diabetes, asthma, renal disease, malignancy, immuno-compromise). Obesity has been a significant factor contributing to mortality. 1.9% of patients who have died had no known underlying condition.

We have only scratched the surface here. The next few weeks will reveal new insights about the illness itself and the best treatment protocols. In the meantime, do what is prudent to protect yourself and others. It may not be obvious to everyone, but tremendous progress is being made.

Blessings to all through Passover and Easter.

 

Coronavirus (COVID-19): Reason, Prudence and Common Sense

Posted Posted in Continuing Education, Elder Care, Homestudy, Nutrition, Seminars, Webinars

By Mary O’Brien, M.D.

A pattern is emerging.  Clinical and laboratory experience in several countries reveals that there are two strains of coronavirus (COVID-19).  The virus is comprised of an unstable single strand of RNA that is mutating.  This is known as antigenic drift and it is expected.  Researchers have identified an “L” strain and an “S” strain.  At present, the “L” strain appears to be associated with more severe symptoms and a higher mortality rate.  More widespread and accessible testing (which is now underway) will help us discern which strain is prevalent in various regions.

The vast majority of deaths have occurred in elderly people with significant underlying illness.  The cluster of patients in a nursing home in Kirkland, Washington, underscores the fragility of sick, elderly patients in enclosed settings.  Outbreaks on cruise ships reflect a similar pattern of transmission.  A large percentage of cruise passengers are over 50.  People don’t like to think of 50 as older, but physiologically, it is.

Clinically, patients with more serious illness have a high fever (over 101°F), a deeper-sounding cough (not a tickle in the throat), and shortness of breath.  The mortality rate in countries with good health care is around one percent.  China and Iran are impossible to assess, but mortality rates there appear to be around 3.4 percent.  Older men in China have very high rates of smoking, which is a crucial factor in both morbidity and mortality.

For now, several additional practices make sense:

  • Minimize or restrict visitors to patients in hospitals and nursing homes. Sick, elderly people need to be protected.
  • Frequent, thorough hand-washing with soap and hot water for 20‒30 seconds is best; hand sanitizers are second best. Keep your hands moisturized to avoid cracked skin.
  • Don’t eat with your fingers; don’t lick your fingers.
  • Keep your hands away from your face, eyes, nose, and mouth.
  • Sanitize your phone everyday. It’s the filthiest thing you touch.
  • Facial hair on men is a veritable Petri dish for microorganisms — especially among the nose, mouth, and chin. Now would be a good time to shave.
  • Change your pillow cases everyday.
  • Don’t waste your face masks. Surgical masks protect other people from your coughs and sneezes.  They don’t protect you from others.  Besides, many viruses penetrate our immune defenses through our eyes.
  • Toss your toothbrush at least every month, and whenever you are feeling ill.
  • Increase oral care with antiseptic mouthwash several times a day.
  • Stay well-hydrated to optimize the integrity of mucous membranes.
  • Let yourself and your patients get more sleep. Sleep is immensely important for multiple aspects of immune function.

The virus will evolve, and we will adapt.  At some point, it will resolve.  Right now, many people, especially those in the media, are overreacting.  That is always a mistake.  There has never been a substitute for reason, prudence, and common sense.  Steady as she goes.  How often can you say it?

 

Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19): Now What?

Posted Posted in Brain Science, Continuing Education, Homestudy, Psychology, Seminars, Webinars

By Mary O’Brien, M.D.

Everybody calm down.  Fear is spreading faster than the coronavirus at this point.  Financial markets are in turmoil over fear of a global economic slowdown caused by the virus.  Worries about lost productivity in China, reduced demand for oil and consumer goods, and disruption of travel, tech, and financial sectors have investors around the world hyperventilating.  The price of gold has reached its highest level in seven years, and the yield on the 10-year treasury is near record lows (1.37%) — both signals of a flight to safety.  Caffeine-toxic media types are nearly histrionic.  As is typically the case, the only two things missing from their breathless banter are knowledge and perspective.

Here are the facts, as of Monday evening, February 24, 2020:

  • The number of global cases of COVID-19 is around 79,000.
  • Virus-related deaths are at 2,600.  The overwhelming majority of deaths is still in China, but China is only reporting in-hospital deaths.
  • The current mortality rate is still around 2–3%.  The mortality rate of SARS was 10% and the mortality rate of seasonal flu is 0.1%.
  • COVID-19 is more readily transmissible than SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome), but less deadly.
  • The incubation period is still considered to be 14 days.
  • Viral transmission of COVID-19 appears to occur through large droplets in respiratory secretions.  Both oral and anal swabs have detected virus (viral particles can be found in the GI tract).
  • Both SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV infect intrapulmonary epithelial cells more than cells of the upper airways. As a result, transmission occurs mostly from patients with recognized illness and usually not from patients with minimal symptoms.  COVID-19 seems to work the same way.
  • The most serious symptoms involve the lower respiratory tract and lungs, as opposed to upper airways. The resulting disease is now called “novel coronavirus-infected pneumonia” or NCIP (NEJM, Feb. 20, 2020).
  • So far the clinical breakdown of cases is fairly predictable:
    • 80% are mild illness (requiring little or no care).
    • 14% are of moderate severity.
    • 5% are critical (requiring mechanical ventilation).
    • 2–3% are fatal.
  • U.S. cases – 35 (nearly all travel-related).
  • Italy confirms 152 cases around Milan with more than 200 cases throughout the country. South Korea confirms 833 cases after testing over 20,000 people.
  • The most vulnerable patients are older individuals and those with chronic underlying illness. (CAD, CHF, COPD, DM, chronic kidney disease).

So now what?  We wait for more facts.  The headlines will reflect a frustrating level of paranoia for another 2–3 months — at least.  Universal precautions in medical settings, careful personal hygiene, and common sense are always prudent. `

Don’t panic.  Don’t dump your investments.  Don’t overdo the caffeine.  And one more thing:  Everybody, please calm down.